Wow. I just got back from vacation, and I turn on the weather channel and Hurricane Katrina is all they're talking about. This thing looks huge! Winds of 175 m.p.h, could go as high as 200+ mph. Could this be the worst storm (or at least hurricane) ever? Yes Aero, please respond
Hurricanes go through eyewall replacement cycles. Right now the storm is as strong as it will be. Forcast models are taking it back down to lagely catagory 3 with imbedded catagory 4 winds.
I don't think it will make landfall as a catagory 5, as landfall is defined as when the center of the eyewall passes over shore. The eyewall is huge and this storm is huge. It's going to start losing steam once 1/2 of the storm is overland.
I would be more worried in Buloxi and Gulfport as they are expecting surge over 20 feet. Waves in this storm were reported at 31 feet last night before I went to bed. So 30 foot waves on top of 20 foot surge is disasterous.
At the moment, outer squalls starting to effect the Mississippi river delta.
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED...
.HURRICANE KATRINA...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.
MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.
HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.
AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.
POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS. THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.
AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE!
My prayers and thoughts go out to the city of New Orleans. They are saying that they don't expect this to weaken much.
Six Flags New Orleans looks like it is in major trouble.
RBull4life wrote:My prayers and thoughts go out to the city of New Orleans. They are saying that they don't expect this to weaken much. Six Flags New Orleans looks like it is in major trouble.
^ Same here. I hope everyone gets out of there in time.
Yeah, I think we'll be losing SFNO. Maybe rides like the Jester might survive though.
Somewhere in Florida a village is missing its idiot. He can be found in Washington D.C.
Hurricanes go through eyewall replacement cycles. Right now the storm is as strong as it will be. Forcast models are taking it back down to lagely catagory 3 with imbedded catagory 4 winds.
I don't think it will make landfall as a catagory 5, as landfall is defined as when the center of the eyewall passes over shore. The eyewall is huge and this storm is huge. It's going to start losing steam once 1/2 of the storm is overland.
I would be more worried in Buloxi and Gulfport as they are expecting surge over 20 feet. Waves in this storm were reported at 31 feet last night before I went to bed. So 30 foot waves on top of 20 foot surge is disasterous.
At the moment, outer squalls starting to effect the Mississippi river delta.
Winds have reached a sustained 175 mph. Gusts reached 202 mph!!!
Huh? Source? I've gotten every VORTEX (Raw code from the Hurricane Hunters and the max ground level winds were 175 mph this morining and afternoon. Since then, the eyewall has gone through a regeneration cycle and has weakened. Pressure has risen and surface winds fell to 160mph.
As of now, pressure is back down to 904 mb (Same pressure that would exist about 2,500 feet above us) and flight level winds are at 160 knots which corisponds to 184mph. Surface winds are still at 160mph however.
I beleive he got the info from MSNBC, which updates in a little box every now and then. I saw that it had the winds at 165mph, and gusts to 202mph. They may be alittle slow in update their info
Either way, it does not look good at all even if it drops to a catergory 3. Larry King is talking about New Orleans like it has died.
According to the National Hurricane Center's website, Katrina has a
top windspeed of 160mph with stronger gusts. I do think that the
storm will hit land as a Cat 5.
This thing has excellent rotation and looks so impressive by the
Satelite Image. With the pressure's as low as it is, this should
rank as #2 on the all time list of most intense Hurricanes to hit
American land.
#1 is a Hurricane that hit the Florida Key's in 1935 with
892mb and 26.35 in. (Cat 5)
#2 (unofficially) Katrina 2005, 904mb and 26.69 in. (Cat 5)
#3 Camille 1969, 909mb and 26.85 in. (Cat 5)
I also pray for all those who are going to be affected by this
Hurricane.
Tropical Depression 13 is on it's way already!
"The world of politics is filled with uncivilized, snarling, rapacious beasts that, like untrained mutts, raise their legs and urinate on everything we hold dear," - Michael Savage
Katrina was at 902mb earlier today. I don't know if you are going off of pressure at landfall.
Katrina has the third lowest recorded pressure in recorded Atlantic Hurricane history at 902. Only the Florida keys hurricane and Gilbert have lower pressures.
Yeah. The table I was using was the table on the NHC's website
that listed most intense Hurricanes to make US Landfall.
"The world of politics is filled with uncivilized, snarling, rapacious beasts that, like untrained mutts, raise their legs and urinate on everything we hold dear," - Michael Savage
Next year? This storm does not mean the end of the gulf coast. I'm not expecting Six Flags New Orleans to be open anytime this week, or possible the rest of the season, but it willl be open next year (barring any park closures on the executive scale).
Yes this is a bad storm, but humans are resialiant, we will build back.
Remember how long Manhatten was shut down after 9/11. It's compleatly back to normal now.
Parts of the roof of the Superdome came off. (Source: Fox News Channel)
"There should be a B.O. squad that patrols the city like a "Smell Gestapo". To sniff 'em out, strip 'em down, and wash them with a big, soapy brush..."
"Why is nice bad? What kind of a sick society are we living in when nice is bad?"
Who cares about SFNO when there are people that don't
have homes and are stranded. If all you care about is
SFNO, you need to get your priorities straight.
We need to be thinking about the people that are effected
by this Hurricane first!
"The world of politics is filled with uncivilized, snarling, rapacious beasts that, like untrained mutts, raise their legs and urinate on everything we hold dear," - Michael Savage